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53 of 53 found the following review helpful:
Awesome Nov 13, 2001
By Michael H. Siegel If you like baseball books, in depth analysis and have a keen interest in the history of the game ... you NEED this book.Bill James' revision to his classic historical abstract weighs in at a hefty 1000 pages and a big price tag. But it's worth it. You really get two books. Book I: A decade-by-decade look at the game. As James says in his preface, he's not trying to give times and dates. Each section gives the reader a feel for what baseball was like in that decade - who the popular players were, how they played, where they played. Who was the biggest player, the smallest player, which team had the best infield, best outfield, best pitchers. He gives an OJ Simpson award for each decade, a Clint Hartung award for the biggest flop, the Paul Krichell award for the dumbest trades and signings. He also details the biggest problems the game had in each decade. You can read a chapter and almost hear the fans debating Wagner vs. Cobb, commenting on what a jerk Rogers Hornsby was and venting frustration as New York teams dominated the 1950's. He also has one section on the Negro Leagues. The last section has his (brilliant) solutions to the problems the game has in the 90's. Book II introduces James' new method of player evaluation -- Win Shares. A quantum leap forward in analysis, Win Shares quantifies everything a player contributes - pitching, hitting and defense -- in terms of how many WINS it brought his team. This corrects for park effects, different eras (you'll be surprised to learn how good those 60's hitters were) and is a massive improvement in evaluation of defense. He rates the top 100 players in history based on career value, peak value, clutch performance, etc. This top 100 includes 12 Negro League players and has some surprises (Oscar Charleston at #4). He rates the top 100 players at each position. Some of this can get dull when you get down to the low #'s. But you'll learn a lot, such as that the 1901 Beaneaters had the best pitching staff of the decade, that Arky Vaughn was the #2 all-time shortstop and that Craig Biggio and Barry Bonds are two of the best all-time at their position (this was written before Bonds' historic 2001 season and Biggio's 2001 comeback). One last thing. Throughout the book, James' cites reference to other great baseball books. You could build an amazing baseball library just from his bibliography. All of this comes with James' wit, insight and love of the game. He combines hard-boiled statistical analysis with an apprection of the intangible aspects of the game.
30 of 30 found the following review helpful:
the man and the work that put sabermetrics on the map Jan 22, 2008
By Michael R. Chernick
"statman31147"
Bill James is famous for his ability to collect, publish and analyze statistics about baseball. This is the second edition of his history book covering through the entire 20th century. But as James says in his preface this is more than just an update. In reviewing the first book he found that he didn't like a number of things that he did and so he has changed. Some may think for the better others for the worse but in my case I never read his 1980s edition so I have no basis for comparisons. James is not a professional statistician but has good statistical intuition and is respected by professional statistician who specialize in sports statistics.
James covers the rules of the game and is very detialed about the players and the rule changes and strategy changes. What I enjoyed most about the book was his lists of the all time top 100 players at each position. This is something sports statisticians think about often and using statistical adjustment techniques and Bayesian methods professional statistician like Schell and Berry have written articles and in Schell's case a book on how to do this. Schell's book includes a list of the all time greatest hitters with Tony Gwynn at the top. The book tells you how the list is constructed and teaches statistical methods along the way.
James has no formal statistical method for constructing his lists. At each position he ranks the top 100 players and does a good job of mixing the old timers with the present day players. Though subjective, this is a difficult task for anyone and James is one of the few who knows enough detail of the history and players in baseball to be up to the task. I may not agree with all of his rankings but that is part of what makes talking about baseball fun. James provides descriptions of the players on his list that may be thought of as justification for their inclusion or rank.
The list of number 1 players by position is as follows: 1. catcher - Yogi Berra 2. pitcher - Walter Johnson 3. 1st base - Lou Gehrig 4. 2nd base - Joe Morgan 5. shortstop - Honus Wagner 6. 3rd base - Mike Schmidt 7. left field - Ted Williams 8. center field - Willie Mays 9. right field - Babe Ruth
The American Statistical Association formed a section SIS (Statistics in Sports). I am a member and so are many other statisticians including Carl Morris, Hal Stern, Mike Schell, Jim Albert, Jay Bennett and Scott Berry. We all have the common ground of interest in sports (particularly baseball). The introduction of true statistical methods in sports has turned sports partly intp a science. Mike Schell wrote a statistics book about statistical adjustment of individual player statistics based on the effect of the home ball park. Albert and Bennett have also contributed books. Efron and Morris long before this movement was in full force wrote a major statistical paper for the Journal of the American Statistical Association that used predicting baseball player averages using Stein shrinking estimator (an Empirical Bayes estimator).
It is books like this that amass large amounts of baseball data and use baseball knowledge and common sense ot look at the game in a differnt way.
30 of 30 found the following review helpful:
The great classic returns showing a different excellence Dec 28, 2001
By Edward W. Trieste The great classic returns in somewhat different form.
The original version was James' greatest achievement and belongs on a short list of the most essential baseball books ever written. And the new version?
Most of the new book has been completely rewritten, yet it retains the same flavor as the original. If pressed, I prefer the earlier edition. This is partly because I read it often in the last decade and thus am somewhat biased in its favor, but also because James' new rating system - Win Shares - is introduced in only in general, without demonstrating the nuts and bolts. James promises that his next book (out next year?) will tell us a lot more about this interesting and probably excellent system, but in the meantime we have to take Win Shares on faith.
However, this reservation pales next to the excellence of the book. The historical overview and the player rankings are a tour de force, as before. In particular, the ranking section is much more ambitious and comprehensive, with many more comments than before.
This is one of those books that is more fun to read by skipping from place to place rather than from cover to cover.
Note: this is actually the 3rd edition of this book. The "original" was actually two very similar editions - a 1985 hardcover and a 1988 paperback.
Here are some things I particularly liked:
* Decade-by-decade outlines of the game. * Greatly expanded capsule lists of odds and ends in each decade. * Sidebars descibing interesting events and stories from each decade. * New 1980s, 1990s, and Negro Leagues chapters. The Negro Leagues chapter is the best addition to Section 1, the historical overview. * Comments and reasoning about the 100 greatest players overall in addition to raw list. * Vastly expanded section 2 - now there there are 100 greatest cited at each position (instead of 25 or 50), most of them with substantial comments and/or stories. * Fielding overview - James clearly explains why traditional fielding statistics mislead. * The stories and narratives keep the book from revolving around statistics. * Excellent new articles about the Union Association, the greatest teams ever, the best way to use a relief pitcher, power pitchers, the future of the game, and more. * Excellent returning articles on the Black Sox era scandals, the evolution of the minors, catchers blocking the plate, and more.
Here are some things I wish were different:
* The layout in the old book was more informal, part of its charm. * Some outstanding articles from the old book - such as those on the 1912 World Series, platooning, and the history of relief pitching - are gone. * The old book's glossary is omitted. New readers should have a place to check exactly what "secondary average" and "the pythagorean method" mean. * The old Section 3 was a reference section showing major players' yearly records, including fielding, hit-by-pitch (omitted from most references!), notes, and more. The new Section 3 replaces this with Win Shares by year for major players. While most of this is available in Total Baseball, it was useful to have it here. * In the old book, James goes to some length to describe his Runs Created and Offensive Winning Percentage methods, and proves their accuracy. In the old hardcover, he takes Pete Palmer and John Thorn to task for not likewise proving their Linear Weights method. But in the new book, he mentions that there are new, more advanced Runs Created formulas but does not say what they are. Likewise, I must reserve judgement about Win Shares. * In the old book, James strongly asserts that a player must be ranked for his peak and career value separately. He has two separate lists for each position because it's "an unavoidable concern," and "I think it's silly to try and put them together." In the new book, he does put them together. He is certainly entitled to change his mind, however since he so emphasized this point in the old book, I would like to hear why he changed it. * The book's tone at times assumes the reader is familiar with James' earlier works. This may disconcert new readers.
James is a brilliant baseball historian. By sharing his insights into the game, many people, including myself, view it through different eyes. He communicates the grand sweep of the game's history very well, and his player evaluations, already fascinating and sometimes amusing, are now much more comprehensive. His statistical innovations have revolutionized baseball analysis.
The only real drawback to this edition is that it sometimes assumes the reader has read James' earlier work. I'm not sure new readers will accept Runs Created or Win Shares, and they may wonder about the meaning of some of James' terms.
My introduction to Bill James was the 1988 edition of this book. I had no problem understanding it, including his explanation of Runs Created and Offensive Winning Percentage. I was impressed enough to read all of his other books out at the time and obtain his later books as they appeared. (I particularly recommend his books on the Hall of Fame and on managers.) If this edition was my introduction to Bill James, I might be less enthusiastic.
My reservations about this book are minor compared to my admiration for this achievement. This is a magnificent overview of baseball's history and its greatest players. This book is too good to get less than five stars.
17 of 17 found the following review helpful:
Great, but very different Nov 05, 2001
In his updated version of his classic historical abstract, Bill James dazzles us with his usual analytical genius. Howvever, from the perspective of someone who has internalized the logic and axioms of the original work, this book comes as something of a surprise if not a disappointment. James seems to have abandoned many of the positions he argued passionately in the original book. As an example, one of the fundamentals of the original book was that no reasonable discussion about player rankings could be undertaken unless one first stipulated whether one was discussing "carreer value" or "peak value". In the new work, James disregards this premise and replaces it with one-dimensional player rankings based on his new "win shares" system. While he explains how his rankings are designed to capture elements of both career and peak value, the very notion of combining them was something he regarded as silly in his original book. Having expected to find his original rankings in their original form updated to reflect the players of the last 15 years, this came as a shock.
36 of 42 found the following review helpful:
Why is baseball a beautiful game? Bill James knows! Nov 17, 2001
By sprince I almost fell out of my chair when I saw "The New Bill James Historical Abstract" in the bookstore. James is every baseball fan wrapped into one and has always been able to see the cold statistical side of baseball along the human side. He even talks about uniform styles and baseball players' looks, which my wife enjoys. This is the kind of book that it takes months to completly consume, the reader starts at the beginning, but then a short tale leads us to another area to compare, then off we go to another similar player who we remember,then to something else. For baseball lovers this book is a must, but for the casual fan this is also a teriffic book. I became obsessed with his 1985 "Historical Abstract" and his yearly publication when I was in my early twenties, I hope young people today find this book and share some of my experiences.
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